Corporate Finance
- The Corporation:
- Public traded company> US frameworks> dominate the world
- Limited liability with double taxation> corporate tax and personal tax
- Australia has no double tax
- “C” normal, Apple, Tesla, large firms with double taxation
- “S” not public traded, not more than 100 shareholders in US> taxed only at shareholder level. Not subject to corporate taxes.
- Corporations> financially sophisticated
- Sole proprietorship> hairdresser
- Looking in numbers corporations low %
- Corporations high in % of revenue
- Total effective tax rate > total tax / earnings
- Cultural attitude is strong
- Pay to shareholders or make jobs a bit safer?
- Japan: all stakeholders> shareholders, investers (banks), employees, customers, society, government, etc. > Job security
- US: shareholders> no one else matters> pay dividends to shareholders
- NL: hard to tell.
- Separation between ownership and control.
- Sole: together
- Corporation: always separate. CEO spends money of everyone
- Board of director is legally in charge> appoints CEO. Real idea< CEO appoints the board and has the power.
- CFO> corporates, banks, commercial, accounting
- CEO> management experience, marketing, technology. Less formal training. Less educated. Job of CEO is to select the right investment projects.
- Conflict with CEO and shareholders> they want something else
- Agency costs>
- Compensation plans
- Board of directors > monitor and supervise CEO
- Takeovers> kick out managers
- Specialist monitoring > activists
- Auditors
- They work well but not always> Enron most admired employer but fraud
- Statistics:
- Financial markets> large amount of data
- Different impressions
- Return> holding period return
- Variance: dispersion
- Mean minus real return is demeaned return
Degree of freedom: we are estimating with a sample> when we divide N-1 because we lost degree of freedom, because we are estimating the mean, so theres a bias as we didn’t observe the mean.
Excel function: Var.P (population N) and Var.S (sample, used N-1)
N number of observations
Covariance: measure relatedness> how they move together. Joint distribution.
Very positive correlated
Accounting:
Main source for finance. Market data and accounting data. Accounting data needs to make sense.
Balance sheet: cash:
Bad news: credit sales
Good news: dividends, invested
Interest expenses subtracted before taxes. Interest expenses are tax deductible
Pepsi lower tax than 30%> transfer pricing, licensing
Law of one price: same price for same risk
Fair market value> discount same interest rate
Arbitrage is transaction in two different market with a riskless profit
Sell expensive, buy cheap
Compounding: shorter periods> increased compounding frequencies, higher amounts.
Stock and bond:
Annuity and perpetuities
Growing perpetuity: always grows, not updated
Forecasts of growth is hard to do
G gets close to cost of capital
Growth annuity: fixed number of periods
One long perpetuity and one short
Short: cancel first out> power 3 for period 4 (first to cancel out). Additional discounting because it starts in period 4
Annuity: long A – short B
R2> economically> amount of variation is explained, rest is idiosyncratic risk.
Value stock: dividend discount model
Gordon growth model: price stock today> discount all future dividends.
Forecast cost of capital and forecast dividend (sticky over time)